# 多周期牛熊判定矩阵 — BTCUSDT > 生成时间：2026-06-17 11:22:34 UTC > 判定方法：EMA200斜率 + 价格vsEMA200 + ATH回撤，三选二投票 > 时间对齐基准：日线(1d) bar 边界 ## 数据覆盖范围 | 周期 | 数据条数 | 有效条数 | 起始时间 | 结束时间 | |------|---------|---------|---------|---------| | 1h | 77290 | 77071 | 2017-08-17 | 2026-06-16 | | 4h | 19338 | 19119 | 2017-08-17 | 2026-06-16 | | 1d | 3225 | 3006 | 2017-08-17 | 2026-06-16 | | 1w | 371 | 152 | 2017-08-14 | 2026-06-15 | ## 当前各周期牛熊状态 | 周期 | 判定 | EMA200斜率 | 价格vsEMA200 | ATH回撤 | 窄幅盘整 | 振幅% | 牛票 | 熊票 | 震票 | EMA200 | Close | |------|------|-----------|-------------|---------|---------|------|------|------|------|--------|-------| | 1h | 🐂 **bull** | bull | bull | bear | sideways | 1.9% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 64738.90 | 65776.97 | | 4h | 🐻 **bear** | bear | bear | bear | unknown | 5.2% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 68982.99 | 65675.88 | | 1d | 🐻 **bear** | bear | bear | bear | unknown | 18.2% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 78707.71 | 66328.74 | | 1w | 🐂 **bull** | bull | bull | bear | unknown | 32.4% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 62716.28 | 65746.45 | ## 历史牛熊矩阵（最近 30 个日线时间点） > 以日线 bar 的 open_time 为基准，查找各周期在该时刻的即时判定。 | 时间 | 1h | 4h | 1d | 1w | BTC Close | |------|----|----|----|----|-----------| | 2026-06-15 00:00 | ⚪ sideways | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 66328.74 | | 2026-06-14 00:00 | ⚪ sideways | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 65746.45 | | 2026-06-13 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 64458.01 | | 2026-06-12 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 63580.01 | | 2026-06-11 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 63625.99 | | 2026-06-10 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 61510.99 | | 2026-06-09 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 61730.00 | | 2026-06-08 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 63085.99 | | 2026-06-07 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 63332.01 | | 2026-06-06 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 60884.62 | | 2026-06-05 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 61056.47 | | 2026-06-04 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 63885.99 | | 2026-06-03 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 64142.75 | | 2026-06-02 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 66760.83 | | 2026-06-01 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 71408.90 | | 2026-05-31 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 73674.39 | | 2026-05-30 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 73884.38 | | 2026-05-29 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 73460.78 | | 2026-05-28 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 73617.51 | | 2026-05-27 00:00 | ⚪ sideways | ⚪ sideways | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 74449.30 | | 2026-05-26 00:00 | ⚪ sideways | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 75930.01 | | 2026-05-25 00:00 | ⚪ sideways | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 77322.01 | | 2026-05-24 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 77064.96 | | 2026-05-23 00:00 | 🐻 bear | ⚪ sideways | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 76752.01 | | 2026-05-22 00:00 | ⚪ sideways | ⚪ sideways | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 75539.50 | | 2026-05-21 00:00 | 🐻 bear | ⚪ sideways | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 77615.52 | | 2026-05-20 00:00 | 🐻 bear | ⚪ sideways | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 77552.23 | | 2026-05-19 00:00 | 🐻 bear | ⚪ sideways | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 76834.36 | | 2026-05-18 00:00 | 🐻 bear | ⚪ sideways | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 77001.87 | | 2026-05-17 00:00 | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 🐻 bear | 🐂 bull | 77457.67 | ## 各周期详细拆解 ### 1h 详细判定（最近 5 个时间点） | 时间 | 最终 | EMA200斜率 | 价格vsEMA200 | ATH回撤 | 窄幅盘整 | 振幅% | 牛票 | 熊票 | 震票 | EMA200 | ATH | |------|------|-----------|-------------|---------|---------|------|------|------|------|--------|-----| | 2026-06-15 00:00 | ⚪ sideways | sideways | bull | bear | unknown | 3.1% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 63927.15 | 126011.18 | | 2026-06-14 00:00 | ⚪ sideways | sideways | bull | bear | sideways | 1.5% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 63777.80 | 126011.18 | | 2026-06-13 00:00 | 🐻 bear | sideways | bear | bear | sideways | 1.6% | 0 | 2 | 2 | 63706.52 | 126011.18 | | 2026-06-12 00:00 | 🐻 bear | bear | bear | bear | sideways | 1.7% | 0 | 3 | 1 | 63745.31 | 126011.18 | | 2026-06-11 00:00 | 🐻 bear | bear | bear | bear | sideways | 2.6% | 0 | 3 | 1 | 63934.05 | 126011.18 | ### 4h 详细判定（最近 5 个时间点） | 时间 | 最终 | EMA200斜率 | 价格vsEMA200 | ATH回撤 | 窄幅盘整 | 振幅% | 牛票 | 熊票 | 震票 | EMA200 | ATH | |------|------|-----------|-------------|---------|---------|------|------|------|------|--------|-----| | 2026-06-15 00:00 | 🐻 bear | bear | bear | bear | unknown | 4.3% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 69268.75 | 125410.81 | | 2026-06-14 00:00 | 🐻 bear | bear | bear | bear | unknown | 4.7% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 69547.86 | 125410.81 | | 2026-06-13 00:00 | 🐻 bear | bear | bear | bear | unknown | 4.3% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 69876.10 | 125410.81 | | 2026-06-12 00:00 | 🐻 bear | bear | bear | bear | unknown | 4.1% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 70268.64 | 125410.81 | | 2026-06-11 00:00 | 🐻 bear | bear | bear | bear | unknown | 4.3% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 70704.04 | 125410.81 | ### 1d 详细判定（最近 5 个时间点） | 时间 | 最终 | EMA200斜率 | 价格vsEMA200 | ATH回撤 | 窄幅盘整 | 振幅% | 牛票 | 熊票 | 震票 | EMA200 | ATH | |------|------|-----------|-------------|---------|---------|------|------|------|------|--------|-----| | 2026-06-15 00:00 | 🐻 bear | bear | bear | bear | unknown | 18.2% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 78707.71 | 124658.54 | | 2026-06-14 00:00 | 🐻 bear | bear | bear | bear | unknown | 19.8% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 78832.12 | 124658.54 | | 2026-06-13 00:00 | 🐻 bear | bear | bear | bear | unknown | 21.3% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 78963.63 | 124658.54 | | 2026-06-12 00:00 | 🐻 bear | bear | bear | bear | unknown | 21.3% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 79109.42 | 124658.54 | | 2026-06-11 00:00 | 🐻 bear | bear | bear | bear | unknown | 21.3% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 79265.49 | 124658.54 | ### 1w 详细判定（最近 5 个时间点） | 时间 | 最终 | EMA200斜率 | 价格vsEMA200 | ATH回撤 | 窄幅盘整 | 振幅% | 牛票 | 熊票 | 震票 | EMA200 | ATH | |------|------|-----------|-------------|---------|---------|------|------|------|------|--------|-----| | 2026-06-15 00:00 | 🐂 bull | bull | bull | bear | unknown | 32.4% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 62716.28 | 119415.55 | | 2026-06-14 00:00 | 🐂 bull | bull | bull | bear | unknown | 32.4% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 62716.28 | 119415.55 | | 2026-06-13 00:00 | 🐂 bull | bull | bull | bear | unknown | 32.4% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 62716.28 | 119415.55 | | 2026-06-12 00:00 | 🐂 bull | bull | bull | bear | unknown | 32.4% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 62716.28 | 119415.55 | | 2026-06-11 00:00 | 🐂 bull | bull | bull | bear | unknown | 32.4% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 62716.28 | 119415.55 | ## 周期判定分布统计 | 周期 | 🐂 牛市 | 占比 | 🐻 熊市 | 占比 | ⚪ 震荡 | 占比 | |------|--------|------|--------|------|--------|------| | 1h | 0 | 0.0% | 24 | 80.0% | 6 | 20.0% | | 4h | 1 | 3.3% | 22 | 73.3% | 7 | 23.3% | | 1d | 0 | 0.0% | 30 | 100.0% | 0 | 0.0% | | 1w | 30 | 100.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | ## 周期一致性统计 - **全周期一致**（所有周期判定相同）：0 天 (0.0%) - **1h ↔ 1w 背离**（1h 与 1w 方向相反）：24 天 (80.0%)